Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
| 950 | 1106 | 29% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 959 | 1051 | 37% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 984 | 1111 | 32% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1248 | 32% | 2003-07-10 | Won |
| 1136 | 1036 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1018.9 has a 53.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).