Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
| 935 | 1110 | 27% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 949 | 802 | 70% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 967 | 1051 | 38% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1136 | 1193 | 42% | 2003-07-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 997.6 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).