Valhalla Bound
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (20 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German (SS)): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1159 | 37% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1170 | 45% | 2020-11-03 | Lost |
| 947 | 1121 | 27% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2019-11-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 974 | 67% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1099 | 58% | 2012-12-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2008-06-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 1086 | 41% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1263 | 42% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2005-12-30 | Won |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2003-06-08 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1002 | 60% | 2001-08-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 2001-04-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1010 | 60% | 1999-12-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 998 | 51% | 1998-05-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1138 | 50% | 1997-03-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 984 | 59% | 1995-08-19 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1075.7 vs 1099.9 has a 46.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).