Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (33 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Chinese): 78
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2025-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 859 | 69% | 2024-09-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2023-10-26 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2022-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-08-16 | | Lost |
| 920 | 966 | 43% | 2020-01-22 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1024 | 80% | 2019-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 988 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-09-05 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1086 | 33% | 2017-07-04 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2014-12-28 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-07-10 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1014 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2005-03-13 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2003-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1009 | 87% | 2001-05-18 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1056 | 38% | 1999-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 1999-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1167 | 37% | 1999-02-01 | | Won |
| 1040 | 987 | 58% | 1998-11-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 1997-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 1997-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 1997-08-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1039.6 has a 47.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).