Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (24 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 37
Defender wins (Chinese): 70
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
931 | 915 | 52% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
1183 | 1194 | 48% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
1039 | 1062 | 47% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
920 | 974 | 42% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
1006 | 983 | 53% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
1008 | 989 | 53% | 2017-12-26 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
1013 | 1099 | 38% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
1090 | 977 | 66% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
963 | 1149 | 26% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
957 | 952 | 51% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
957 | 1012 | 42% | 2009-06-26 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2008-05-14 | Won |
994 | 962 | 55% | 2005-03-13 | Won |
954 | 1057 | 36% | 2003-10-08 | Lost |
972 | 1083 | 35% | 1999-05-07 | Lost |
1065 | 1062 | 50% | 1999-02-01 | Won |
1142 | 977 | 72% | 1997-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1001.8 vs 1020 has a 47.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).