Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 996 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1047 | 1191 | 30% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1196 | 30% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1024 | 63% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 939 | 952 | 48% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1293 | 18% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 973 | 74% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1116 | 1151 | 45% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1151 | 46% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 739 | 1151 | 9% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 831 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1089.1 has a 46.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).