Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 989 | 59% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 1191 | 33% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1065 | 1198 | 32% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 922 | 952 | 46% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1119 | 1140 | 47% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1140 | 51% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 1999-11-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1018 | 831 | 75% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1077.7 vs 1086.5 has a 48.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).