Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (17 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1001 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1003 | 49% | 2023-10-20 | | Won |
| 968 | 1030 | 41% | 2021-11-18 | | Won |
| 968 | 1133 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | | Won |
| 1157 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-06-15 | | Won |
| 1083 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-03-18 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1000 | 37% | 2008-11-08 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1232 | 25% | 2007-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1213 | 1000 | 77% | 2006-12-16 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1213 | 23% | 2006-10-07 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1213 | 19% | 2003-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 1999-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 1998-12-29 | | Won |
| 754 | 1213 | 7% | 1998-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 1997-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 1997-08-14 | | Won |
| 1159 | 832 | 87% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1056.8 has a 45.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).