Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1048 | 1164 | 34% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 1219 | 27% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1112 | 53% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 950 | 54% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1263 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 974 | 72% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1108 | 1140 | 45% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1140 | 52% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 707 | 1140 | 8% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1143 | 44% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1143 | 1104 | 56% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1079 | 846 | 79% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1089.5 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).