The Awakening of Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2024-07-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1071 | 1058 | 52% | 2019-01-21 | Won |
| 1032 | 1099 | 40% | 2008-04-01 | Won |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2004-04-12 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-01-18 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 1997-10-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077 vs 1065.1 has a 51.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).