Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1064 | 47% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 962 | 870 | 63% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1044 | 54% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1020 | 1050 | 46% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1020 | 1050 | 46% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 933 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1118 | 694 | 92% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 977 | 1037 | 41% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
| 871 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1052 | 58% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1033 | 54% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1050 | 1049 | 50% | 2001-04-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2000-04-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 1137 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1016.1 has a 53.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).