Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (22 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 44
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2025-03-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 925 | 70% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1044 | 55% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1221 | 16% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 953 | 1037 | 38% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 951 | 1109 | 29% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1176 | 1014 | 72% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1124 | 1051 | 60% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1033 | 61% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1068 | 1049 | 53% | 2001-04-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2000-04-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1020.9 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).