Kampfgruppe at Karachev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2024-05-30 | Won |
| 1122 | 1044 | 61% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1268 | 963 | 85% | 2022-12-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1174 | 31% | 2020-09-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 917 | 870 | 57% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-08-02 | Tied |
| 1046 | 939 | 65% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 978 | 58% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 1144 | 977 | 72% | 2015-08-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1067 | 48% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1069 | 48% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2012-03-17 | Won |
| 986 | 959 | 54% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 1052 | 34% | 2010-01-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2008-02-03 | Won |
| 1016 | 1158 | 31% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1152 | 45% | 2005-04-09 | Lost |
| 914 | 1050 | 31% | 2004-09-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1118 | 60% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1103 | 40% | 2003-01-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1152 | 34% | 2001-10-02 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2000-12-06 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2000-11-23 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1100 | 61% | 2000-10-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1040 | 49% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1115 | 47% | 2000-03-04 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1064.9 vs 1050.1 has a 52.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).