The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (8 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2024-03-09 | Tied |
| 949 | 741 | 77% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1145 | 953 | 75% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1210 | 23% | 2003-04-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2000-11-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1093 | 54% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2000-04-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1028 | 45% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1001.6 vs 1026.1 has a 46.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).