Round Two
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
| 1005 | 1033 | 46% | 2013-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 1057 | 32% | 2012-09-12 | Won |
| 959 | 987 | 46% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-10-01 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1248 | 34% | 2003-06-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2002-11-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1043 | 50% | 2001-12-23 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2000-12-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-12-02 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1036 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1058.8 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).