3rd RTR in the Rain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103
Attacker wins (British): 51
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 894 | 903 | 49% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 954 | 891 | 59% | 2025-04-23 | Won |
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1110 | 52% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 952 | 80% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 900 | 900 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 959 | 60% | 2024-03-13 | Won |
| 1051 | 889 | 72% | 2023-11-29 | Won |
| 1104 | 1018 | 62% | 2023-07-21 | Won |
| 951 | 968 | 48% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1129 | 969 | 72% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 989 | 927 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 991 | 58% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
| 1085 | 1029 | 58% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
| 1085 | 932 | 71% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1010 | 56% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1008 | 49% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 966 | 994 | 46% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 966 | 54% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 1004 | 53% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 989 | 1114 | 33% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1116 | 56% | 2020-09-21 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 903 | 997 | 37% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1145 | 31% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 915 | 1008 | 37% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1031 | 993 | 55% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 903 | 1030 | 32% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 903 | 65% | 2020-02-22 | Won |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2020-02-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2018-05-17 | Won |
| 1136 | 965 | 73% | 2018-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1154 | 27% | 2017-11-23 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1066 | 959 | 65% | 2016-06-14 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1310 | 20% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1154 | 53% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1033 | 42% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 1285 | 21% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 983 | 53% | 2014-07-13 | Lost |
| 918 | 1038 | 33% | 2014-05-20 | Lost |
| 918 | 1038 | 33% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1141 | 42% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1019 | 53% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1086 | 1064 | 53% | 2012-12-08 | Won |
| 1285 | 1089 | 76% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 938 | 58% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2012-07-07 | Tied |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2012-04-29 | Won |
| 1113 | 1002 | 65% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1026 | 51% | 2011-03-14 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1158 | 47% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1147 | 32% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1077 | 42% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
| 1148 | 920 | 79% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 888 | 1018 | 32% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1018 | 52% | 2010-03-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 852 | 72% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1412 | 982 | 92% | 2009-09-13 | Won |
| 1310 | 1088 | 78% | 2009-09-13 | Lost |
| 993 | 1310 | 14% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1178 | 1412 | 21% | 2009-05-17 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2009-05-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 1028 | 56% | 2009-04-01 | Won |
| 1111 | 1133 | 47% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 1010 | 57% | 2009-01-02 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1031 | 48% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 974 | 1099 | 33% | 2008-04-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 958 | 56% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-05-16 | Won |
| 1272 | 1029 | 80% | 2007-01-02 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1412 | 14% | 2006-10-13 | Lost |
| 1154 | 986 | 72% | 2006-01-25 | Won |
| 1248 | 986 | 82% | 2006-01-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 947 | 70% | 2004-12-11 | Won |
| 835 | 1003 | 28% | 2004-11-08 | Won |
| 1121 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-09-21 | Lost |
| 901 | 928 | 46% | 2004-02-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1136 | 29% | 2001-12-19 | Lost |
| 981 | 1110 | 32% | 2001-12-13 | Lost |
| 920 | 926 | 49% | 2001-10-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-09-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1116 | 48% | 2000-08-26 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | Lost | |
| 1117 | 847 | 83% | Lost |
Attacking (51 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1040.4 has a 50.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).