Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 180 (21 on the archive and 159 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 90
Defender wins (French): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 951 | 59% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1018 | 981 | 55% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1001 | 53% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 991 | 959 | 55% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 950 | 928 | 53% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 952 | 1154 | 24% | 2021-03-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 1126 | 37% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 910 | 1089 | 26% | 2019-09-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1079 | 33% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1136 | 42% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1248 | 914 | 87% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1209 | 954 | 81% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 932 | 1058 | 33% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-01-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1029 | 63% | 2007-03-07 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2002-12-31 | Lost |
| 1009 | 920 | 63% | 2001-10-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1015 has a 52.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).