Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 185 (24 on the archive and 161 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 86
Defender wins (German ): 99
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1081 | 32% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 972 | 999 | 46% | 2023-05-17 | Won |
| 1001 | 995 | 51% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 992 | 50% | 2021-04-25 | Won |
| 904 | 883 | 53% | 2021-03-04 | Lost |
| 1081 | 946 | 69% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 1128 | 968 | 72% | 2021-02-23 | Lost |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1115 | 969 | 70% | 2018-12-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 919 | 1177 | 18% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 958 | 1220 | 18% | 2012-10-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 931 | 72% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1031 | 54% | 2010-01-23 | Won |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2007-03-07 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1225 | 58% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1044 | 1123 | 39% | 2002-12-31 | Won |
| 1140 | 1118 | 53% | 2002-10-10 | Won |
| 959 | 1014 | 42% | 2001-10-27 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-06-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2001-05-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1048.8 has a 46.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).