Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 175 (18 on the archive and 157 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 96
Defender wins (French): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1005 | 953 | 57% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
937 | 916 | 53% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
1045 | 974 | 60% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
992 | 1017 | 46% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
1032 | 780 | 81% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
953 | 1095 | 31% | 2021-03-03 | Won |
1058 | 1126 | 40% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
982 | 1087 | 35% | 2019-09-30 | Won |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
1207 | 976 | 79% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
933 | 1008 | 39% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-01-23 | Lost |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2007-03-07 | Won |
1009 | 994 | 52% | 2001-10-27 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1029.9 vs 1005.3 has a 53.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).