Audacity!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 182 (23 on the archive and 159 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 91
Defender wins (French): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 951 | 66% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1041 | 952 | 63% | 2023-05-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1001 | 51% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 991 | 1016 | 46% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 935 | 918 | 52% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 953 | 1151 | 24% | 2021-03-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 1127 | 35% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2019-09-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1115 | 30% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1193 | 919 | 83% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1220 | 954 | 82% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 931 | 1065 | 32% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2010-01-23 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1035 | 64% | 2007-03-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1044 | 59% | 2002-12-31 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1152 | 45% | 2002-10-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 907 | 65% | 2001-10-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-06-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2001-05-29 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1009.9 has a 55.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).