Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 875 | 67% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 899 | 64% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 1006 | 53% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 954 | 972 | 47% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 962 | 873 | 63% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 815 | 77% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1053 | 39% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1019 | 50% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1194 | 23% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1050 | 44% | 2004-04-12 | Lost |
| 997 | 1050 | 42% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1149 | 47% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1162 | 53% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 910 | 1156 | 20% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1176 | 785 | 90% | 2001-12-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1095 | 44% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1053 | 56% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 841 | 1056 | 22% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1003.7 vs 1007.9 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).