Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 63
Defender wins (German): 78
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1024 | 49% | 2025-09-05 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 939 | 61% | 2022-04-21 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2021-10-11 | | Won |
| 932 | 1147 | 22% | 2021-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1143 | 38% | 2021-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2020-08-11 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2020-03-17 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1140 | 25% | 2019-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2019-02-24 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-07-14 | | Won |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2017-05-08 | | Won |
| 1098 | 990 | 65% | 2015-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2012-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2012-04-13 | | Won |
| 1126 | 967 | 71% | 2010-08-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 1040 | 42% | 2009-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2007-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2006-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2006-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2004-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2004-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1122 | 47% | 2002-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1025 | 74% | 2002-07-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2002-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2001-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-08-21 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1344 | 13% | 2000-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1037.3 has a 49.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).