Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1055 | 41% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1043 | 46% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
| 1025 | 915 | 65% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 995 | 75% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 932 | 1060 | 32% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1078 | 49% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1004 | 58% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 899 | 67% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 1113 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 985 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 964 | 1234 | 17% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
| 975 | 1144 | 27% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
| 1074 | 938 | 69% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 1037 | 986 | 57% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 1082 | 1037 | 56% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1080 | 47% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 869 | 71% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 962 | 1118 | 29% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
| 1161 | 990 | 73% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 894 | 1025 | 32% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1107 | 50% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1130 | 48% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1122 | 62% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
| 911 | 1234 | 13% | 2002-03-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2001-12-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1032.6 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).