A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (14 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1185 | 26% | 2025-08-11 | Won |
| 1028 | 1097 | 40% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 953 | 1037 | 38% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 991 | 977 | 52% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 960 | 1151 | 25% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1068 | 49% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
| 1185 | 1043 | 69% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1104 | 30% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2002-02-26 | Won |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1104 | 30% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1070.1 has a 45.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).