A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (10 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1097 | 43% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1037 | 41% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 980 | 976 | 51% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 953 | 1156 | 24% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1023 | 72% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 954 | 1079 | 33% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 1151 | 712 | 93% | 2002-02-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1079 | 33% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1050 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).