Friday the 13th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1055 | 47% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1240 | 1204 | 55% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1141 | 52% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1101 | 55% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 873 | 71% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 1313 | 14% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 925 | 870 | 58% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 1124 | 54% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1313 | 15% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 766 | 82% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 961 | 1039 | 39% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1138 | 937 | 76% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1008 | 50% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 985 | 50% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
| 950 | 1069 | 34% | 2018-11-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 909 | 70% | 2018-06-02 | Lost |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 980 | 1100 | 33% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1074 | 925 | 70% | 2017-11-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1011 | 45% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 1062 | 46% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1154 | 1313 | 29% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
| 890 | 1044 | 29% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 912 | 1192 | 17% | 2016-03-19 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1122 | 926 | 76% | 2015-11-27 | Won |
| 968 | 1223 | 19% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1012 | 46% | 2015-03-14 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1074 | 54% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2012-11-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 986 | 46% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2012-08-17 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1108 | 40% | 2011-05-27 | Won |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1060 | 34% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1058 | 56% | 2010-04-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 984 | 66% | 2010-02-28 | Lost |
| 987 | 956 | 54% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 992 | 53% | 2009-07-23 | Lost |
| 978 | 1146 | 28% | 2008-12-29 | Won |
| 1105 | 1115 | 49% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1086 | 904 | 74% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 916 | 905 | 52% | 2006-03-09 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1028 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 993 | 967 | 54% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 999 | 79% | 2004-03-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 1039 | 54% | 2003-10-31 | Lost |
| 849 | 1213 | 11% | 2002-12-20 | Won |
| 955 | 1213 | 18% | 2002-03-27 | Won |
| 1039 | 985 | 58% | 2002-01-16 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2001-08-07 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1221 | 31% | | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1056.5 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).