ASL Scenario Archive

Bad Luck

Games with no balance used/recorded: 46

Attacker wins (German): 21

Defender wins (American): 25

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1017	1225	23%	2025-01-08	Lost
971	1012	44%	2024-11-25	Lost
1108	969	69%	2023-02-27	Lost
850	989	31%	2023-02-27	Lost
933	947	48%	2022-11-28	Won
1252	1306	42%	2021-07-25	Lost
780	1029	19%	2020-10-28	Lost
1226	996	79%	2020-09-08	Won
1069	950	66%	2020-08-28	Won
739	1143	9%	2019-05-08	Lost
998	999	50%	2018-03-03	Won
1132	1030	64%	2018-03-03	Won
972	1216	20%	2018-02-11	Lost
972	1216	20%	2018-02-11	Lost
1220	1198	53%	2014-01-18	Won
1125	1092	55%	2012-02-25	Won
1126	1096	54%	2011-11-11	Lost
1073	1168	37%	2011-09-15	Won
966	1126	28%	2011-08-01	Lost
1063	924	69%	2010-03-13	Won
1104	1016	62%	2009-08-23	Won
1167	1137	54%	2009-04-14	Lost
1150	1077	60%	2008-03-01	Won
1022	1035	48%	2008-01-27	Won
1127	1122	51%	2008-01-27	Lost
1150	1239	37%	2007-09-07	Lost
1089	1150	41%	2007-09-07	Lost
1155	1434	17%	2007-08-07	Lost
1038	992	57%	2006-10-14	Lost
1176	1225	43%	2006-06-23	Lost
1070	739	87%	2006-06-03	Won
1220	1342	33%	2006-04-02	Won
987	1225	20%	2005-10-23	Won
833	1042	23%	2003-03-07	Won
1060	925	69%	2002-05-03	Won
1342	978	89%	2002-04-27	Won
954	1342	10%	2002-02-02	Lost
1342	1006	87%	2002-01-31	Lost
1077	1026	57%	2002-01-01	Lost
1006	1099	37%	2001-12-08	Won
753	1140	10%	2001-08-10	Lost
1095	1101	49%	2001-08-08	Lost
1101	1095	51%	2001-08-07	Lost
1091	1006	62%		Won
1091	1091	50%		Lost
1091	958	68%		Won

Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1090.7 has a 45.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).