Bad Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 197 (29 on the archive and 168 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 97
Defender wins (American): 100
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1108 | 1041 | 60% | 2023-02-27 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
1244 | 1292 | 43% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
802 | 1039 | 20% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
1225 | 1168 | 58% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
1104 | 953 | 70% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
1131 | 1028 | 64% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
1000 | 994 | 51% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
1012 | 1242 | 21% | 2018-02-11 | Lost |
1012 | 1242 | 21% | 2018-02-11 | Lost |
1207 | 935 | 83% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
1095 | 1110 | 48% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
1116 | 1167 | 43% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
1113 | 1018 | 63% | 2009-08-23 | Won |
1062 | 1135 | 40% | 2009-04-14 | Lost |
1142 | 1148 | 49% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
1013 | 1030 | 48% | 2008-01-27 | Won |
1115 | 1307 | 25% | 2007-09-07 | Lost |
1106 | 1360 | 19% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
987 | 994 | 49% | 2006-10-14 | Lost |
1085 | 925 | 72% | 2006-06-23 | Lost |
986 | 925 | 59% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
1083 | 1032 | 57% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-08-08 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-08-07 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1087.6 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).