My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 926 | 59% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2013-08-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 986 | 847 | 69% | 2003-02-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2002-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 924 has a 67.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).