My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2013-08-15 | Lost |
| 1061 | 900 | 72% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2004-04-12 | Won |
| 982 | 847 | 69% | 2003-02-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2002-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1016 vs 926.9 has a 62.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).