My Lonely Valentine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 926 | 59% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2013-08-15 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1058 | 62% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1058 | 42% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 986 | 847 | 69% | 2003-02-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2002-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 949.3 has a 62.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).