Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1203 | 50% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 910 | 67% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 1084 | 55% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1084 | 55% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1216 | 33% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1044 | 58% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1069 | 45% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1012 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 927 | 1116 | 25% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 890 | 927 | 45% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1220 | 38% | 2004-05-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1085 | 52% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1174 | 63% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 1169 | 32% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1130 | 56% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1064.7 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).