The Sooner The Better
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Commonwealth): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2026-04-05 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-01-13 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-11-16 | | Tied |
| 1029 | 904 | 67% | 2016-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1133 | 44% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-06-07 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1150 | 52% | 2006-04-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1016.3 has a 59.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).