The Tractor Works
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (50 on the archive and 129 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 118
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1277 | 15% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 1019 | 991 | 54% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 909 | 63% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1186 | 47% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1277 | 965 | 86% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1277 | 32% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1226 | 44% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 868 | 971 | 36% | 2021-05-20 | Won |
| 1049 | 967 | 62% | 2021-03-16 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1040 | 80% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 909 | 972 | 41% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 925 | 965 | 44% | 2018-03-23 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-02-01 | Tied |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1220 | 948 | 83% | 2017-09-22 | Won |
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 909 | 1020 | 35% | 2017-03-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-10-15 | Lost |
| 1181 | 935 | 80% | 2015-08-07 | Won |
| 944 | 1050 | 35% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 949 | 997 | 43% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 948 | 1220 | 17% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1181 | 35% | 2013-07-09 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1073 | 65% | 2013-07-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 1003 | 59% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 960 | 948 | 52% | 2011-07-28 | Lost |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2010-03-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1025 | 52% | 2010-03-11 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2010-01-07 | Tied |
| 1151 | 1088 | 59% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1126 | 1045 | 61% | 2009-05-01 | Lost |
| 952 | 920 | 55% | 2008-12-23 | Won |
| 1156 | 1092 | 59% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 903 | 932 | 46% | 2007-10-12 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-26 | Tied |
| 1186 | 1041 | 70% | 2005-09-08 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1329 | 44% | 2005-01-01 | Lost |
| 862 | 907 | 44% | 2004-09-01 | Lost |
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 1992-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1035.2 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).