Ranger Stronghold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 261 (47 on the archive and 214 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 175
Defender wins (American): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1006 | 46% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 880 | 895 | 48% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 993 | 916 | 61% | 2020-10-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 1009 | 58% | 2020-05-06 | Won |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1139 | 916 | 78% | 2020-02-11 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2019-04-25 | Won |
| 988 | 1020 | 45% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1035 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 964 | 1005 | 44% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1058 | 46% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1080 | 924 | 71% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 879 | 73% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 988 | 1018 | 46% | 2017-02-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1061 | 50% | 2017-01-19 | Won |
| 988 | 997 | 49% | 2017-01-12 | Won |
| 1061 | 1060 | 50% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1070 | 958 | 66% | 2016-07-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 850 | 1190 | 12% | 2015-02-09 | Lost |
| 850 | 873 | 47% | 2014-09-22 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-11-13 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1019 | 75% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 2010-12-15 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2010-04-26 | Won |
| 1196 | 951 | 80% | 2009-08-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 694 | 87% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 1102 | 39% | 2008-10-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 920 | 78% | 2008-09-17 | Won |
| 1085 | 893 | 75% | 2007-11-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 1094 | 45% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1094 | 45% | 2007-10-16 | Won |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2007-04-14 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1234 | 39% | 2007-02-04 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2005-11-05 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 934 | 982 | 43% | 2001-05-13 | Won |
| 1343 | 1021 | 86% | 2000-07-21 | Won |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1998-05-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-03-21 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1007 | 49% | 1996-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1038.1 vs 1011.2 has a 53.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).