The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (25 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 65
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 991 | 49% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 962 | 987 | 46% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 890 | 1020 | 32% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 949 | 83% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 880 | 945 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1131 | 956 | 73% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1031 | 79% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 964 | 1018 | 42% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1077 | 1080 | 50% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1172 | 29% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 906 | 55% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 1008 | 50% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 956 | 989 | 45% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1107 | 893 | 77% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 827 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1084 | 58% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1022 | 86% | 2000-07-27 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1011.3 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).