The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 964 | 48% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 963 | 1037 | 40% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 875 | 1086 | 23% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 949 | 83% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 902 | 77% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 971 | 1020 | 43% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 1074 | 49% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1114 | 37% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 919 | 53% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1008 | 49% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 902 | 990 | 38% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 893 | 74% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 827 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1076 | 61% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1002.7 has a 51.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).