Sweep For Bordj Toum Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (13 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 780 | 89% | 2024-04-26 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2023-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 940 | 67% | 2021-01-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1119 | 34% | 2020-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1152 | 41% | 2019-09-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1146 | 30% | 2019-07-05 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-01-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-12-30 | | Lost |
| 961 | 940 | 53% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2015-04-18 | | Tied |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 1997-03-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1050.1 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).