Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (19 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (American): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-05-15 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1007 | 76% | 2024-12-13 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-11-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1228 | 21% | 2021-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-03-28 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-08-09 | | Won |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-04-19 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2008-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2007-12-05 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1060 | 70% | 2007-12-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2006-01-16 | | Won |
| 907 | 959 | 43% | 2003-05-18 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1102 | 17% | 2003-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2002-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1011 | 57% | 2002-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2001-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2001-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2001-03-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2001-03-24 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1051.8 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).