Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2024-12-13 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2013-04-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1106 | 67% | 2008-10-27 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
| 1329 | 1055 | 83% | 2006-01-16 | Won |
| 928 | 1008 | 39% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 830 | 1189 | 11% | 2003-02-24 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1026 | 51% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2001-06-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1050 | 41% | 2001-03-31 | Won |
| 974 | 1152 | 26% | 2001-03-24 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1046.9 has a 52.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).