Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 952 | 80% | 2024-12-13 | Won |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1224 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 966 | 63% | 2013-04-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1106 | 67% | 2008-10-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1051 | 82% | 2006-01-16 | Won |
| 928 | 1008 | 39% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 847 | 1248 | 9% | 2003-02-24 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1035 | 50% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2001-06-05 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1081.8 vs 1054.2 has a 53.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).