Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1214 | 982 | 79% | 2024-12-13 | Won |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 965 | 68% | 2013-04-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1106 | 67% | 2008-10-27 | Won |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2007-12-05 | Won |
| 1214 | 1068 | 70% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2006-01-16 | Won |
| 927 | 962 | 45% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 830 | 1177 | 12% | 2003-02-24 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1013 | 56% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1109 | 48% | 2001-06-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2001-03-31 | Won |
| 972 | 1140 | 28% | 2001-03-24 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1061.3 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).