Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1206 | 962 | 80% | 2024-12-13 | Won |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1100 | 52% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1078 | 965 | 66% | 2013-04-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1106 | 67% | 2008-10-27 | Won |
| 1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2007-12-05 | Won |
| 1206 | 1038 | 72% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
| 1340 | 1056 | 84% | 2006-01-16 | Won |
| 927 | 1008 | 39% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 831 | 1189 | 11% | 2003-02-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1011 | 50% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2001-06-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2001-03-31 | Won |
| 973 | 1151 | 26% | 2001-03-24 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1067.6 has a 49.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).