Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1224 | 1001 | 78% | 2024-12-13 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1117 | 965 | 71% | 2013-04-19 | Won |
| 1233 | 1106 | 68% | 2008-10-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2007-12-05 | Won |
| 1224 | 1061 | 72% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
| 1232 | 1056 | 73% | 2006-01-16 | Won |
| 927 | 958 | 46% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 833 | 1177 | 12% | 2003-02-24 | Lost |
| 1344 | 903 | 93% | 2002-04-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1014 | 52% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 1344 | 27% | 2001-07-28 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2001-06-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1066 | 39% | 2001-03-31 | Won |
| 972 | 1140 | 28% | 2001-03-24 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1087.4 vs 1073.1 has a 52.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).