The Road To St. Lô
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (10 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 915 | 1012 | 36% | 2026-04-12 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 950 | 76% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 2020-07-16 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-02-23 | | Won |
| 928 | 1074 | 30% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2013-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-02-19 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2004-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2003-09-02 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1014.2 has a 56.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).