Brief Breakfast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (14 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1087 | 58% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1145 | 985 | 72% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1145 | 985 | 72% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1145 | 985 | 72% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1145 | 985 | 72% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2016-12-10 | Lost |
| 962 | 1144 | 26% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 1048 | 1038 | 51% | 2014-10-05 | Lost |
| 991 | 1213 | 22% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 1066 | 35% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 867 | 81% | 2011-05-06 | Lost |
| 922 | 1031 | 35% | 2008-12-01 | Lost |
| 994 | 1238 | 20% | 2004-11-10 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1045.7 has a 52.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).