Brief Breakfast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (12 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1009 | 48% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1010 | 1003 | 51% | 2016-12-10 | Lost |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2014-10-05 | Lost |
991 | 1175 | 26% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
1008 | 876 | 68% | 2011-05-06 | Lost |
949 | 1083 | 32% | 2008-12-01 | Lost |
1097 | 904 | 75% | 2004-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1011.1 has a 54.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).