Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (22 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 997 | 51% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 991 | 53% | 2020-03-30 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1014 | 65% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1049 | 60% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 1147 | 28% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
| 941 | 1144 | 24% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1049 | 980 | 60% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1081 | 46% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1003 | 52% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 973 | 1009 | 45% | 2009-01-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 958 | 57% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2008-08-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1068 | 34% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 950 | 66% | 2007-12-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-01-27 | Tied |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2005-12-23 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1102 | 79% | 2005-04-03 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2005-02-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1032 | 47% | 2005-02-24 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1032.9 vs 1041.3 has a 48.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).