Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (23 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (American): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-03-30 | | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2017-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2014-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2014-07-30 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2014-03-15 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2014-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2013-12-23 | | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-01-28 | | Won |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 2010-01-15 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1009 | 45% | 2009-01-16 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2008-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2008-08-09 | | Won |
| 950 | 1074 | 33% | 2007-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 950 | 67% | 2007-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-01-27 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2005-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2005-04-03 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2005-02-26 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1051 | 45% | 2005-02-24 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1001.1 has a 53.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).