Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2024-07-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 997 | 52% | 2020-03-30 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1014 | 65% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 1149 | 28% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
| 977 | 1144 | 28% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 1016 | 49% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
| 1074 | 1045 | 54% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 1037 | 47% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 973 | 987 | 48% | 2009-01-16 | Won |
| 987 | 958 | 54% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2008-08-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1039 | 37% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
| 1039 | 950 | 63% | 2007-12-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-01-27 | Tied |
| 1059 | 1046 | 52% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1008 | 39% | 2005-12-23 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1102 | 77% | 2005-04-03 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2005-02-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1062 | 43% | 2005-02-24 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1042 has a 48.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).