The Whirlwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 969 | 65% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1213 | 766 | 93% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 852 | 846 | 51% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 846 | 1014 | 28% | 2015-09-02 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 871 | 1094 | 22% | 2012-04-03 | Won |
| 1118 | 954 | 72% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 968 | 60% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 1999-06-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 995.8 has a 56.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).