Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 953 | 958 | 49% | 2024-12-31 | Won |
| 1113 | 1135 | 47% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1113 | 53% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-12-12 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1202 | 52% | 2022-05-30 | Lost |
| 971 | 983 | 48% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 971 | 983 | 48% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 951 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 951 | 1188 | 20% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 959 | 1009 | 43% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 992 | 66% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1100 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 966 | 1088 | 33% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1044 has a 48.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).