Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2024-12-31 | Won |
| 1113 | 1135 | 47% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1113 | 53% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1123 | 41% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1156 | 59% | 2022-05-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 983 | 48% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 972 | 983 | 48% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 951 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 951 | 1203 | 19% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 959 | 960 | 50% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 992 | 65% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1100 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 966 | 1115 | 30% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1028 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1028.6 vs 1038.1 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).