Timoshenko's Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 47
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1056 | 34% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 978 | 1009 | 46% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 948 | 1026 | 39% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1218 | 943 | 83% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 998 | 45% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-01-09 | Won |
| 1059 | 1120 | 41% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1120 | 41% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 988 | 1036 | 43% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1015 | 78% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1053 | 46% | 2001-03-03 | Won |
| 1129 | 1193 | 41% | 1993-07-30 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1019 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1034.3 has a 52.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).