Timoshenko's Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (11 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
980 | 967 | 52% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
924 | 984 | 41% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
1284 | 959 | 87% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
890 | 890 | 50% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2016-01-09 | Won |
1108 | 975 | 68% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
952 | 887 | 59% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
952 | 861 | 63% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
988 | 1037 | 43% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
1307 | 1015 | 84% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
955 | 1063 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 982.6 has a 59.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).