Timoshenko's Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 47
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1002 | 49% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1008 | 46% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 949 | 1144 | 25% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 948 | 83% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 893 | 65% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-01-09 | Won |
| 1050 | 1106 | 42% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1106 | 42% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 988 | 1041 | 42% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1015 | 86% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1046 | 63% | 2001-03-03 | Won |
| 919 | 1156 | 20% | 1993-07-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1027.9 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).