Timoshenko's Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (18 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 47
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 963 | 72% | 2026-05-05 | Tied |
| 1001 | 963 | 55% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-07-16 | Lost |
| 979 | 1009 | 46% | 2022-02-21 | Won |
| 948 | 963 | 48% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 929 | 84% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
| 964 | 1005 | 44% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-01-09 | Won |
| 1040 | 1120 | 39% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1120 | 39% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 951 | 862 | 63% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-06-04 | Lost |
| 988 | 1036 | 43% | 2005-07-30 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1015 | 80% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2001-03-03 | Won |
| 1129 | 1134 | 49% | 1993-07-30 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1035 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1025.3 has a 55.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).