Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 976 | 986 | 49% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 1018 | 47% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1049 | 947 | 64% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 873 | 66% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1093 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1107 | 910 | 76% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1180 | 1027 | 71% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1071 | 891 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 831 | 1204 | 10% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1150 | 1012 | 69% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1150 | 951 | 76% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1014.5 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).