Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 893 | 1017 | 33% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1002 | 947 | 58% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 874 | 67% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1094 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1210 | 1027 | 74% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 890 | 73% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 987 | 1127 | 31% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 830 | 1156 | 13% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1028 | 28% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 1012 | 66% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 951 | 74% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1017.3 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).