Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (18 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
964 | 975 | 48% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
975 | 964 | 52% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
898 | 1017 | 34% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
1027 | 946 | 61% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
1115 | 1145 | 46% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
987 | 873 | 66% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
1183 | 1036 | 70% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1028 | 1131 | 36% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
1073 | 959 | 66% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
1327 | 1013 | 86% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
1068 | 887 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
862 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
1117 | 952 | 72% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
1117 | 1012 | 65% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.2 vs 1009.7 has a 54.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).