Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 914 | 1053 | 31% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1053 | 914 | 69% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 898 | 1017 | 34% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1034 | 946 | 62% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 949 | 873 | 61% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1094 | 961 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1106 | 998 | 65% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1242 | 1027 | 78% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 890 | 73% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 987 | 1115 | 32% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 830 | 1189 | 11% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1036 | 27% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 1013 | 66% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 951 | 74% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1019.8 has a 51.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).