Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (24 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 987 | 60% | 2022-12-02 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2022-10-13 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2022-10-13 | | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2022-10-05 | | Lost |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2022-10-05 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1018 | 46% | 2018-07-25 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-03-17 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 874 | 84% | 2016-08-14 | | Won |
| 1077 | 974 | 64% | 2016-03-25 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1134 | 37% | 2015-06-11 | | Tied |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
| 1207 | 1028 | 74% | 2013-03-23 | | Won |
| 1071 | 891 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1121 | 33% | 2007-04-08 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1157 | 13% | 2002-09-18 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2001-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1998-10-01 | | Won |
| 1195 | 1014 | 74% | 1990-01-01 | | Won |
| 1195 | 951 | 80% | 1990-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1013.2 has a 55.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).