Hakkaa Paalle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Finnish): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 982 | 62% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 984 | 979 | 51% | 2026-01-19 | Won |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2025-12-24 | Won |
| 1003 | 1030 | 46% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 890 | 1015 | 33% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 1099 | 30% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2018-07-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-10-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-04-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1049 | 69% | 1999-01-25 | Won |
| 974 | 1101 | 32% | 1994-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1030.8 has a 47.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).