Hakkaa Paalle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Finnish): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1021 | 56% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2026-01-19 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2025-12-24 | Won |
| 1094 | 1030 | 59% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 928 | 1015 | 38% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 983 | 45% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2018-07-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-10-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-04-24 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1047 | 54% | 1999-01-25 | Won |
| 1084 | 1101 | 48% | 1994-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1016.1 vs 1048.1 has a 45.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).