Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (37 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 993 | 51% | 2026-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1171 | 47% | 2025-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1144 | 998 | 70% | 2025-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2024-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2024-09-23 | | Won |
| 1106 | 1000 | 65% | 2024-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-07-19 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2023-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2023-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2018-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 1052 | 987 | 59% | 2016-06-01 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-03-15 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1014 | 51% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1014 | 51% | 2016-03-12 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-02-05 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1116 | 51% | 2014-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1226 | 32% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1138 | 47% | 2013-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2012-08-11 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2009-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2005-10-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1348 | 23% | 2004-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 981 | 69% | 2004-01-03 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 1999-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1996-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1182 | 39% | 1995-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1056.5 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).