Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1027 | 67% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1009 | 68% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 863 | 873 | 49% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1073 | 1051 | 53% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1055 | 48% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 929 | 981 | 43% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 890 | 76% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
| 1128 | 1031 | 64% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1075 | 42% | 2018-06-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 912 | 80% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1086 | 920 | 72% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 920 | 72% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 847 | 827 | 53% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1080 | 69% | 2015-02-05 | Won |
| 1154 | 1100 | 58% | 2014-12-16 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1223 | 26% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1110 | 1145 | 45% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2009-05-24 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-03-05 | Lost |
| 1110 | 981 | 68% | 2004-01-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 1995-10-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1036 | 28% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1032.7 has a 54.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).