Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (29 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 954 | 45% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 932 | 890 | 56% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1028 | 54% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1224 | 890 | 87% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 864 | 1070 | 23% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 1180 | 39% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 949 | 61% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1091 | 46% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1067 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 898 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1173 | 52% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1162 | 968 | 75% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1162 | 1009 | 71% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 1007 | 1057 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1091 | 33% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1416 | 1100 | 86% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1416 | 1096 | 86% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1044 | 48% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 942 | 65% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1008.5 has a 59.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).