Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (29 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 914 | 53% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 933 | 870 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1010 | 56% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1224 | 870 | 88% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 1180 | 39% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1032 | 949 | 62% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1067 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 897 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1157 | 58% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 993 | 1001 | 49% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1162 | 968 | 75% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1162 | 905 | 81% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 1009 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1098 | 32% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1413 | 1100 | 86% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1413 | 1111 | 85% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1045 | 49% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 942 | 68% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1002.4 has a 59.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).