Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1089 | 1077 | 52% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 951 | 1219 | 18% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 951 | 82% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 949 | 960 | 48% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1310 | 16% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1264 | 49% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1019 | 41% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1094 | 1039 | 58% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 929 | 51% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 855 | 847 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1141 | 1017 | 67% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1037 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1248 | 847 | 91% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1136 | 978 | 71% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1116 | 47% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 947 | 70% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 920 | 63% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 920 | 1031 | 35% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1248 | 1118 | 68% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1089 | 940 | 70% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1036 | 872 | 72% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1019.6 has a 56.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).