Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 969 | 1078 | 35% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1083 | 950 | 68% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1083 | 32% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 1023 | 958 | 59% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1251 | 27% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1220 | 52% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1005 | 43% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 909 | 54% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 858 | 850 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1213 | 1019 | 75% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1036 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 833 | 87% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 998 | 63% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1140 | 977 | 72% | 2000-06-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 948 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1062 | 45% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1263 | 41% | 1998-10-25 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1031 | 46% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1005 | 48% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1290 | 1263 | 54% | 1998-10-14 | Won |
| 1041 | 1026 | 52% | 1997-11-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1118 | 56% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 969 | 943 | 54% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1029 | 873 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1061.2 vs 1040.8 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).