Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1074 | 1079 | 49% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1193 | 951 | 80% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 951 | 1193 | 20% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 967 | 961 | 51% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1313 | 16% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1289 | 36% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 987 | 45% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1096 | 1039 | 58% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 977 | 45% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 855 | 846 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1146 | 1018 | 68% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1234 | 849 | 90% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1115 | 987 | 68% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1058 | 55% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1152 | 978 | 73% | 2000-06-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 947 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 905 | 1031 | 33% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 905 | 63% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1234 | 1118 | 66% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1074 | 942 | 68% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1037 | 872 | 72% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1056.3 vs 1019.8 has a 55.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).