The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (11 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (American): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2021-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1001 | 55% | 2017-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 986 | 66% | 2016-12-10 | | Lost |
| 695 | 1080 | 10% | 2010-12-24 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2004-07-11 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1125 | 16% | 2004-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1999-03-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1996-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 1995-01-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 1031.5 has a 47.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).