Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (8 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 23
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 1066 | 43% | 2022-06-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1228 | 39% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 982 | 54% | 2022-06-05 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 964 | 63% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 1062 | 27% | 2004-06-30 | Won |
| 1170 | 833 | 87% | 2002-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1025.5 has a 55.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).