Cut the Road to Marseille
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Free French): 6
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2022-06-15 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1066 | 43% | 2022-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1227 | 39% | 2022-06-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2022-06-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2019-01-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2008-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2004-06-30 | | Won |
| 1159 | 832 | 87% | 2002-07-19 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1032.8 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).