Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (6 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Free French): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1066 | 39% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 890 | 831 | 58% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
| 847 | 1248 | 9% | 2002-08-23 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1089 | 53% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 978 vs 1050.5 has a 39.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).