Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (8 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Free French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1042 | 42% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 899 | 707 | 75% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
| 833 | 1113 | 17% | 2002-08-23 | Lost |
| 950 | 945 | 51% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
| 1160 | 1060 | 64% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 1160 | 36% | 1999-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 998.8 vs 1034.4 has a 44.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).