Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (8 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Free French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 910 | 743 | 72% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
| 848 | 1196 | 12% | 2002-08-23 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1074 | 46% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
| 1147 | 1018 | 68% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1147 | 32% | 1999-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1001.6 vs 1038.4 has a 44.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).