ASL Scenario Archive

Retaking Vierville

Scenario balance report

Games with no balance used/recorded: 323

Attacker wins (German): 136

Defender wins (American): 177

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 3

Attacker wins (German): 3

Defender wins (American): 0

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (American): 1

Scenario Balance Over Time

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

ELO vs Outcome

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1000	1000	50%	2026-03-01	Lost
1000	1015	48%	2026-02-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2026-01-25	Won
1000	1015	48%	2026-01-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-12-30	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2025-11-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-10-14	Tied
1000	1000	50%	2025-08-17	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2025-07-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2025-07-06	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2025-06-13	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2025-06-06	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-06-04	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-04-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-01-25	Won
1015	1000	52%	2025-01-11	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2024-12-15	Won
1000	1015	48%	2024-12-07	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2024-11-24	Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-10-03	Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-08-27	Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-08-15	Lost
1015	1000	52%	2024-07-28	Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-06-27	Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-06-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-01-19	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-12-25	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-12-10	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-11-29	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-11-22	Won
1000	1000	50%	2023-08-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-08-19	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-05-09	Won
1000	1000	50%	2023-03-31	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-03-20	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-03-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-03-01	Won
1000	984	52%	2023-02-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2023-01-16	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-01-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-12-30	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-12-29	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-12-28	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-12-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-09-22	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-08-21	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-08-11	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-08-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-06-19	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-06-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-06-12	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-05-25	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-05-05	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-04-07	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-03-05	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-03-02	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-02-21	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-02-13	Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-01-25	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-12-16	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-11-26	Lost
1000	999	50%	2021-10-10	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-10-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-09-12	Lost
999	1000	50%	2021-08-28	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-08-22	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-07-26	Won
1000	999	50%	2021-07-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-07-01	Won
1000	985	52%	2021-06-25	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-05-24	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-05-13	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-05-05	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-04-28	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-04-25	Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-04-04	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-03-21	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-03-08	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-03-07	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-02-14	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-02-04	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-02-04	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2021-01-13	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-12-31	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-12-31	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-12-14	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-11-23	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-10-31	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-10-25	Tied
1000	1000	50%	2020-10-10	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-08-28	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-08-02	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-08-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-07-18	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-07-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-07-11	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-06-23	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-06-23	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-06-05	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-22	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-19	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-08	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-08	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-04-03	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-03-19	Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-02-15	Won
1000	1019	47%	2020-02-13	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-02-09	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-01-12	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-01-06	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-01-04	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-12-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-12-16	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-12-07	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-12-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-11-29	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-11-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-11-13	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-10-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-09-28	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-09-16	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-08-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-07-10	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-05-23	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-04-07	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-03-31	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2019-02-17	Won
1000	993	51%	2019-02-09	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-02-02	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-01-23	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-01-13	Won
1000	1000	50%	2019-01-05	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-12-16	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-12-11	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-12-06	Tied
1000	1000	50%	2018-12-04	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-11-21	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-11-16	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-11-10	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-11-03	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-10-14	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-08-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-08-05	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-07-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-05-24	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-05-03	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-04-04	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-03-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-03-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-03-04	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-03-03	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-02-28	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-02-04	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-01-07	Lost
1000	988	52%	2018-01-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-01-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2018-01-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-12-30	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-12-21	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-11-25	Tied
1000	1000	50%	2017-11-17	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-10-13	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-10-02	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-09-25	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-08-31	Won
1037	1037	50%	2017-08-25	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-07-26	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-07-19	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-07-08	Won
1000	1019	47%	2017-06-30	Lost
983	1000	48%	2017-06-13	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-05-30	Won
1000	985	52%	2017-05-12	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-03-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-03-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-03-12	Won
1000	1000	50%	2017-03-11	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-02-19	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-02-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-02-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2017-01-17	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2016-12-10	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2016-11-24	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-11-21	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2016-10-29	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-10-09	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-09-17	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2016-07-29	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-07-24	Won
1000	1022	47%	2016-07-22	Tied
1000	983	52%	2016-07-03	Lost
944	1000	42%	2016-04-02	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-03-31	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-01-30	Won
1000	1000	50%	2016-01-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2016-01-01	Lost
1000	1016	48%	2015-11-15	Lost
1000	1016	48%	2015-11-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-09-19	Lost
1022	1000	53%	2015-08-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-07-28	Lost
1022	1000	53%	2015-07-20	Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-07-16	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-07-09	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-07-09	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-06-18	Won
1000	929	60%	2015-06-14	Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-05-29	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-05-09	Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-05-09	Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-04-05	Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-03-11	Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-03-11	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-02-19	Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-01-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2014-12-28	Won
1000	1000	50%	2014-12-23	Won
1000	1000	50%	2014-11-24	Won
1000	1081	39%	2014-09-12	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-08-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-08-05	Lost
1000	1014	48%	2014-06-08	Won
1000	1000	50%	2014-06-05	Won
1000	1000	50%	2014-05-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-04-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-04-05	Won
1000	984	52%	2014-03-26	Tied
1000	1000	50%	2014-03-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-03-08	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-03-01	Won
983	1000	48%	2014-02-26	Won
1000	1000	50%	2014-02-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2014-01-23	Won
1000	1000	50%	2013-11-22	Won
1000	1000	50%	2013-07-15	Won
1000	1000	50%	2013-07-02	Lost
985	1000	48%	2013-06-20	Won
1000	985	52%	2013-06-19	Lost
1000	984	52%	2013-04-20	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2013-04-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2013-04-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2012-12-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2012-10-23	Lost
1000	944	58%	2012-08-12	Lost
944	1000	42%	2012-07-20	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2012-06-07	Won
898	1000	36%	2012-05-23	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-12-28	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-11-28	Lost
972	1000	46%	2011-11-24	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-10-29	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-09-05	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-08-29	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-08-26	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-06-12	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-05-08	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2011-02-12	Won
1000	1000	50%	2011-01-16	Won
1000	1000	50%	2010-12-11	Won
1000	1000	50%	2010-11-06	Won
1000	1000	50%	2010-07-20	Won
1000	1000	50%	2010-06-16	Lost
1049	1049	50%	2010-04-07	Won
1000	988	52%	2010-04-07	Won
1000	1000	50%	2010-04-05	Won
944	1000	42%	2010-03-12	Won
1000	1024	47%	2010-03-07	Lost
1000	944	58%	2010-01-29	Lost
944	1000	42%	2010-01-24	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2010-01-23	Won
1000	1000	50%	2010-01-16	Lost
1024	1000	53%	2010-01-08	Won
1000	1024	47%	2010-01-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2009-11-17	Won
1000	1000	50%	2009-11-10	Lost
1000	873	68%	2009-08-19	Won
1000	1000	50%	2009-08-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2009-07-28	Won
1000	985	52%	2009-07-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2009-07-08	Won
1000	1000	50%	2009-06-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2009-05-28	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2009-05-07	Won
1000	1000	50%	2009-04-27	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2009-03-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2009-02-05	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2008-12-28	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2008-11-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2008-11-01	Won
1000	1000	50%	2008-09-18	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2008-09-05	Won
1000	944	58%	2008-07-04	Lost
944	1000	42%	2008-06-13	Won
944	1000	42%	2008-06-08	Won
1000	1000	50%	2008-03-11	Won
1000	1000	50%	2008-02-03	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2008-01-29	Lost
1000	961	56%	2008-01-10	Won
1000	1000	50%	2007-10-06	Won
1000	1000	50%	2007-09-17	Lost
1000	985	52%	2007-05-24	Lost
1000	985	52%	2007-05-24	Lost
1000	985	52%	2007-05-20	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2006-11-01	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2006-10-19	Won
1000	1000	50%	2006-07-20	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2006-05-19	Won
1000	1000	50%	2006-04-04	Won
944	1000	42%	2005-06-08	Lost
1000	944	58%	2005-04-07	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2004-08-17	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2004-08-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2004-07-15	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2004-06-13	Lost
1000	953	57%	2004-06-04	Lost
953	1000	43%	2004-05-31	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2004-04-30	Lost
1000	983	52%	2004-04-23	Lost
1000	983	52%	2004-04-22	Lost

Attacking (137 wins) average ELOs: 998.6 vs 998.8 has a 49.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).

Not Much of a Soldier

And the Walls Come A-Tumblin' Down

West of the Merderet

Husum Hotfoot

Husum Hotfoot

Road to Prome