Ambitious Assault
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82
Attacker wins (British/American): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 57
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (British/American): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2026-05-31 | Lost | |
| 942 | 1059 | 34% | 2026-04-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2026-04-07 | A | Lost |
| 1059 | 942 | 66% | 2026-03-21 | Lost | |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-01-20 | A | Won |
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2024-10-18 | Lost | |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-08-20 | Won | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-02-14 | Lost | |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2023-07-24 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-04-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2023-02-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2022-09-25 | Lost | |
| 905 | 1003 | 36% | 2022-08-14 | Won | |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-07-19 | Won | |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-06-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-05-06 | Lost | |
| 961 | 1000 | 44% | 2021-07-11 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2021-02-08 | Lost | |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-02-01 | Tied | |
| 1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-12-01 | Lost | |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-11-26 | Won | |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-10-05 | Lost | |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-08-17 | Won | |
| 1291 | 984 | 85% | 2020-07-03 | Lost | |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2020-05-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2020-02-11 | Lost | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2019-12-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2019-12-12 | Lost | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2019-11-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2019-08-23 | Lost | |
| 1172 | 1100 | 60% | 2019-07-13 | Lost | |
| 1133 | 945 | 75% | 2019-07-02 | Won | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-05-06 | Won | |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2018-09-16 | Won | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-05-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-05-18 | Lost | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-05-14 | Won | |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2017-02-01 | Lost | |
| 1134 | 894 | 80% | 2017-01-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-07-27 | Tied | |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-07-05 | Lost | |
| 926 | 881 | 56% | 2016-07-03 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-05-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2016-05-17 | Lost | |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-08-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-08-08 | Lost | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-07-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2015-07-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2015-06-11 | Lost | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-10-07 | Lost | |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-09-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2014-06-01 | Won | |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-03-27 | Won | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-02-07 | Won | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-07-15 | Lost | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2013-01-05 | Won | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-09-23 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-02-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2011-09-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2011-02-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2010-06-23 | Lost | |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2010-02-15 | Lost | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-10-22 | Won | |
| 926 | 1000 | 40% | 2009-07-28 | Won | |
| 926 | 1000 | 40% | 2009-07-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2009-07-12 | Lost | |
| 926 | 1000 | 40% | 2009-05-13 | Lost | |
| 926 | 1000 | 40% | 2009-05-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2008-05-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2007-12-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1113 | 34% | 2007-07-02 | Won | |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2007-05-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1113 | 34% | 2006-11-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2006-08-25 | Lost | |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2006-08-05 | Lost | |
| 943 | 1176 | 21% | 2006-07-24 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2006-03-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-03-13 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2005-12-03 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2005-09-30 | Won | |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2005-07-01 | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1031 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).