Ambitious Assault
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 166 (74 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 41
Defender wins (Italian): 123
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
987 | 987 | 50% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
1036 | 1045 | 49% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
1187 | 1213 | 46% | 2023-07-24 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
1058 | 1067 | 49% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
1058 | 1012 | 57% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
954 | 1004 | 43% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
1012 | 1058 | 43% | 2022-07-19 | Won |
924 | 1058 | 32% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
981 | 1013 | 45% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
1002 | 1025 | 47% | 2021-05-02 | Won |
1085 | 1083 | 50% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-01 | Tied |
1007 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2020-11-26 | Won |
980 | 1038 | 42% | 2020-10-05 | Lost |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
1188 | 939 | 81% | 2020-07-03 | Lost |
975 | 964 | 52% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
1427 | 1429 | 50% | 2020-02-11 | Lost |
892 | 901 | 49% | 2019-12-13 | Lost |
1058 | 1113 | 42% | 2019-12-12 | Lost |
1429 | 1217 | 77% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
986 | 1159 | 27% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1159 | 1107 | 57% | 2019-07-13 | Lost |
1198 | 943 | 81% | 2019-07-02 | Won |
989 | 997 | 49% | 2019-05-06 | Won |
929 | 943 | 48% | 2018-09-16 | Won |
985 | 1025 | 44% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
1101 | 1086 | 52% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-05-14 | Won |
1002 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-02-01 | Lost |
1104 | 893 | 77% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
1058 | 881 | 73% | 2016-07-27 | Tied |
881 | 870 | 52% | 2016-07-05 | Lost |
926 | 892 | 55% | 2016-07-03 | Lost |
960 | 1013 | 42% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2016-05-17 | Lost |
1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-07-20 | Lost |
1058 | 1011 | 57% | 2015-07-07 | Lost |
1157 | 1429 | 17% | 2015-06-11 | Lost |
1227 | 1163 | 59% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1002 | 1058 | 42% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
1002 | 1058 | 42% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
1183 | 1087 | 63% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2013-01-05 | Won |
1046 | 1058 | 48% | 2012-09-23 | Lost |
1019 | 999 | 53% | 2012-02-14 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
1142 | 1227 | 38% | 2011-02-21 | Lost |
990 | 990 | 50% | 2010-06-23 | Lost |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-22 | Won |
920 | 1058 | 31% | 2009-07-28 | Won |
920 | 1058 | 31% | 2009-07-28 | Won |
946 | 952 | 49% | 2009-07-12 | Lost |
920 | 1058 | 31% | 2009-05-13 | Lost |
920 | 1058 | 31% | 2009-05-13 | Lost |
953 | 1115 | 28% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
977 | 1172 | 25% | 2007-12-22 | Lost |
961 | 984 | 47% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
1172 | 1080 | 63% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
1317 | 984 | 87% | 2006-11-10 | Lost |
1038 | 1115 | 39% | 2006-08-25 | Lost |
1142 | 1281 | 31% | 2006-08-05 | Lost |
941 | 1062 | 33% | 2006-07-24 | Lost |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-03-14 | Won |
860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-03-13 | Lost |
887 | 978 | 37% | 2005-07-01 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1057.7 has a 48.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).