Hammer to the Teeth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American): 37
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 987 | 1021 | 45% | 2024-11-26 | Lost |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2024-11-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 994 | 56% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 993 | 1032 | 44% | 2024-09-07 | Won |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 900 | 910 | 49% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 886 | 1152 | 18% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1270 | 20% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | Lost |
| 1030 | 968 | 59% | 2022-12-05 | Won |
| 1016 | 963 | 58% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2022-08-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 968 | 59% | 2022-04-18 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 969 | 955 | 52% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 940 | 65% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 979 | 1165 | 26% | 2022-02-14 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1049 | 90% | 2022-01-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1144 | 1111 | 55% | 2021-07-30 | Won |
| 1063 | 1047 | 52% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1047 | 52% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 914 | 1025 | 35% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1016 | 43% | 2020-11-26 | Won |
| 1016 | 992 | 53% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 945 | 1141 | 24% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1009 | 45% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 939 | 911 | 54% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 1068 | 45% | 2020-09-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 848 | 72% | 2020-08-25 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-06-29 | Won |
| 848 | 1163 | 14% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-05-08 | Tied |
| 1065 | 996 | 60% | 2020-04-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-02-07 | Won |
| 848 | 1068 | 22% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 911 | 1068 | 29% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
| 1004 | 989 | 52% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
| 1047 | 1056 | 49% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1056 | 49% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 916 | 926 | 49% | 2017-07-15 | Won |
| 970 | 1032 | 41% | 2017-07-10 | Lost |
| 960 | 1152 | 25% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 911 | 960 | 43% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 877 | 613 | 82% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 1217 | 1147 | 60% | 2016-01-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-08-17 | Won |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2015-03-30 | Won |
| 1116 | 972 | 70% | 2014-07-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1182 | 54% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1216 | 39% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 960 | 49% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1040 | 972 | 60% | 2011-09-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 933 | 943 | 49% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1054 | 984 | 60% | 2010-10-13 | Won |
| 1053 | 1216 | 28% | 2010-06-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 953 | 57% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-12-08 | Lost |
| 951 | 946 | 51% | 2009-09-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 1045 | 38% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 940 | 59% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 880 | 1032 | 29% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
| 961 | 1039 | 39% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2008-10-14 | Lost |
| 919 | 1019 | 36% | 2008-08-24 | Tied |
| 955 | 1002 | 43% | 2008-06-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-05-22 | Won |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-07-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2006-04-25 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (42 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1028.1 has a 48.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).