Nordic Twilight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (2 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1314 | 1058 | 81% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
834 | 1063 | 21% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1074 vs 1060.5 has a 51.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).