Nordic Twilight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Finnish): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1333 | 1026 | 85% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
| 1040 | 1139 | 36% | 2000-06-29 | Won |
| 1090 | 1028 | 59% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1152 | 41% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1138.5 vs 1086.3 has a 57.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).