Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (13 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 76
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1012 | 62% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1119 | 1045 | 60% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 831 | 1204 | 10% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1068 | 50% | 2003-04-27 | Lost |
| 1201 | 950 | 81% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 1999-12-16 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1024 | 1034 | 49% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1074.5 vs 1060.8 has a 51.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).