Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 995 | 69% | 2019-10-16 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2019-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2014-02-07 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1062 | 69% | 2010-05-30 | | Won |
| 832 | 1150 | 14% | 2005-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2003-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2002-10-25 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 1999-12-16 | | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 1998-08-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 1998-08-01 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 1996-08-02 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.7 vs 1055.5 has a 46.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).