Operation Nordwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (11 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 75
Defender wins (American): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2019-08-06 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 975 | 1144 | 27% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
| 847 | 1218 | 11% | 2005-03-05 | Lost |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2002-10-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 1998-12-29 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 1998-08-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 1033 | 56% | 1996-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1084.5 vs 1095.4 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).