Before Nightfall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1189 | 992 | 76% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 963 | 57% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 1095 | 920 | 73% | 2011-11-22 | Won |
| 1095 | 1064 | 54% | 2004-08-18 | Won |
| 1152 | 973 | 74% | 1999-04-02 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1095 vs 994.6 has a 64.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).