The Last Waltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (5 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1189 | 980 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
1054 | 1313 | 18% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
1085 | 1117 | 45% | 2004-11-01 | Won |
1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-12-17 | Won |
1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1104.8 vs 1121.2 has a 47.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).