Criniti's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Italian): 2
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1161 | 48% | 2022-06-11 | Won |
| 981 | 1165 | 26% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1013 | 920 | 63% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1070.5 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).