Criniti's Escape
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Italian): 2
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1163 | 48% | 2022-06-11 | Won |
| 952 | 1098 | 30% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1014 | 938 | 61% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1056.8 has a 50.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).