The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 1
Defender wins (Italian / Eritrean): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1070 | 51% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 933 | 1070 | 31% | 2022-05-15 | Tied |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1005 vs 1070 has a 40.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).