The Fifth Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Polish): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2024-02-19 | | Won |
| 986 | 1098 | 34% | 2022-12-21 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-08-09 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1000 | 31% | 2018-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-01-01 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-09-17 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 998.2 vs 1016.3 has a 47.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).