The Fifth Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1182 | 36% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 1015 | 1037 | 47% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1055 | 1030 | 54% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1042 | 52% | 2009-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1030.3 has a 48.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).