To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (13 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1016 | 51% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1008 | 79% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 969 | 1143 | 27% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 909 | 974 | 41% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 987 | 1036 | 43% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
| 1301 | 1062 | 80% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 939 | 68% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 1011 | 1061 | 43% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-02-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1031 | 68% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
| 964 | 1158 | 25% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1028.3 vs 1046.1 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).