To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (14 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 997 | 54% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1008 | 76% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 951 | 974 | 47% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 960 | 1028 | 40% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
| 1301 | 1063 | 80% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 939 | 68% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1031 | 50% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 1011 | 1061 | 43% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-02-04 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1018 | 68% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
| 998 | 1221 | 22% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
| 956 | 1145 | 25% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1006.6 vs 1054.1 has a 43.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).