Oriola Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 1179 | 43% | 2026-03-09 | Won |
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1236 | 23% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1082 | 1107 | 46% | 2013-07-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1122 | 31% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1132 | 36% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1143 | 945 | 76% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 981 | 1070 | 37% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2005-08-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1082 | 41% | 2003-06-25 | Won |
| 1383 | 1342 | 56% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1108 vs 1102.5 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).