Oriola Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1141 | 47% | 2026-03-09 | Won |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2020-01-21 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1186 | 29% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1085 | 1105 | 47% | 2013-07-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 959 | 1122 | 28% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1118 | 980 | 69% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1068 | 38% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2005-08-14 | Won |
| 1041 | 1082 | 44% | 2003-06-25 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.7 vs 1082.5 has a 50.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).