Bridgehead on the Berezina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (4 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2020-02-21 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2011-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2010-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-03-27 | | Tied |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1091.5 vs 1046.5 has a 56.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).