Bridgehead on the Berezina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2020-02-21 | Won |
| 1068 | 1086 | 47% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1098 | 46% | 2010-01-26 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1129 | 57% | 2005-03-27 | Tied |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1133.8 vs 1071.5 has a 58.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).